WEC 51 and Bellator 31

Bellator Fighting Championships 31 Breakdown

I chose this one first because there are only 2 fights that I am betting on.

Semi-finals for Bellator Women's 115 tournament

I believe I went undefeated in the first round for these fights (3-0)

Lisa Ward (+395) vs. Megumi Fujii (-495)

This is a re-match from 3 years ago when Megumi defeated Lisa Ward in the first round via Armbar. Lisa Ward is highly accomplished wrestler who uses Ground and Pound to defeat her opponents. I don't see Ward submitting Fujii, she can tag Fujii and if she does we shall see Fujii's chin. Lisa Ward, will avenge this loss and move on to the finals. Lisa Ward wins a Unam Decision (29-28)

Play: Lisa Ward +395 risk 1.4 Units

Jessica Aguilar (+165) vs. Zoila Frausto (-190)

I am a big fan of Zoila's however I don't know how good her ground game is. I think Aguilar can win this fight if she gets it to the ground. She had no trouble the first fight getting it to the ground. I think Aguilar wins the fight. I think the line is off. Zoila missed weight on her first attempt and admitted on her facebook that the weight cut was hard for her. I'm taking Aguilar. Aguilar wins Decision (30-27)

Play: Jessica Aguilar +165 risk 3 Units

WEC 51 Breakdown

Pablo Garza (+115) vs. Tiequan Zhang (-135)

Both are undefeated fighters.

Garza made it to the The Ultimate Fighter 12, was defeated in the qualifying round. He still has an undefeated pro record because those fights are considered amateur fights. Not much is known about Teiquan except that he is the first Chinese fighter in WEC and UFC. What is being reported is that he could be the building block for the Zuffa (UFC and WEC) expansion into Asia more specifically China. Pablo does not look like a pushover, however with the unknown factor with Zhang kind of scares me from betting. Zhang in the two fights I have been able to track down on google, has looked good with a Triangle Choke and TKO victory. I will pass on this fight. Too many unrealiable factors.

Play is: Pass!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Demetrious Johnson (-105) vs. Nick Peace (-115)

Play: Pass

Chad George (+260) vs. Antonio Banuelos (-320)

This is a battle of the fighters who lost to Scott Jorgensen. Banuelos trains with Chuck Liddell. I don't have a strong play on this fight. I think Chad George is a lot better than his first minute submission loss vs. Scott Jorgensen last time out.

Play: Pass

Tyler Toner (+125) vs. Diego Nunes (-145)

the line has dropped while typing this 25 cents on Toner. Which leads me to believe that and add to the point that I think Toner could be the right side. Nunes is a BJJ purple belt under Team Nogueira and Blackhouse Gym. Toner in his last fight showed how vicious his elbows are. Both of these fighters have never been finished, (either Knocked out, or submitted) I can see Toner winning a close decision. I think Toner wins this fight.

Play: Tyler Toner risk 2 Units (+125)

Chris Horodecki (-155) vs. Ed Ratcliff (+135)

I think fight can be an easy fight for Horodecki if he gets the fight to the ground. If decides to stand and trade with Ed Ratcliff he could get tagged by Ed's unique striking. Ed is also coming off of a 9 month layoff. His last fight was a loss to Donald Cerrone back last December. I think Horodecki wins this fight via submission. 2nd Round.

Chris Horodecki (-155) to win 3 Units

Cole Province (+295) vs. Mike Brown (-355)

Its hard to bet against Mike Brown. Who's on a losing skid (2 of his last 3) I think he gets back on track. He looks to be fighting a (6-1) fighter who looks to be a one dimensional submission specialist.

Mike Brown gets back on track with the win. Because of the juice though, I think I will pass

Play: Pass

Leonard Garcia (+180) vs. Mark Hominick (-195)

This is the first fight of the night on Versus @ 8pm CST. Garcia is a very exciting fighter. However he has a tendency to throw caution to the wind and let his hands go. If you have seen his last two fights with George Roop and "The Korean Zombie" Chan Sung Jung you will see what I mean. Garcia is trained by Greg Jackson, who is the Yoda of MMA trainers. If he, Greg Jackson, can't get Garcia to listen, then who can? If Garcia fights a smart fight he can win. If he swings for the fences Hominick will pick him apart. Hominick has a good combination of both Striking and effective Grappling: He has 8 wins via (T)KO and 7 wins by submission. I lean towards Hominick but I cannot bet this fight. I see the fight as being way too close to call. Too many unknowns.

Play: Pass

Chan Sung "The Korean Zombie" Jung (-270) vs. George Roop (+230)

I am a huge fan of the Korean Zombie, greatest nickname in MMA? Hell yea. I saw two fights of his before he came into the WEC, and he never gives in. He was armbarred so tight and was able to get out of it. I swear his elbow was dislocated. George Roop is no pushover though. He went toe-to-toe with Leonard Garcia last time out and the fight was scored a controversial draw. Chan Sung is a great striker who has cardio for days, and his grappling while underutilized is very impressive. I think this fight is a toss-up. It could really go either way. I think George Roop will win a very close decision (29-28). Because the fight is a toss-up I will play it small.

Play: George Roop (+230) risk 2 Units

Miguel Angel Torres (-420) vs. Charlie Valencia (+375)

I think Miguel Torres is awesome as a person as a fighter he is amazing. However he has struggled his last to fights being submitted and knocked out respectively. Valencia is entering this fight as this is the biggest fight of his career.

I think Valencia pulls the upset

Play: Charlie Valencia (+375) risk 3 Units

Jamie Varner (-139) vs. Donald Cerrone (+129)

to put it simply I think Varner has gotten into Donald's head with the pre-fight trash talk. I think Varner has better striking and better stand up. I think Varner wins a 3 round decision.

Play: Jamie Varner (-139) to win 3 Units

Manny Gamburyan (+500) vs. Jose Aldo (-600)

Upset Alert. I think Aldo while he is very good, in MMA because the sport is every evolving, no one stays on top for a long time. There are always new challengers. I think Manny Gamburyan has the experience, the grappling, and most importantly the striking power to knock out Aldo.

Aldo has never seriously had his chin tested. Gamburyan because of his frame, has a lot of power behind what he throws. In order for Gamburyan to win, I think he has to knock out Aldo in the first two rounds. He cannot let Aldo fire those hellacious leg kicks that nearly crippled Urijah Faber. Left him looking black and blue on each leg. To give you a perspective of just exactly how bad the leg kicks were on Urijah Faber, he had to be carried to his corner in the last two rounds. He couldn't even walk. Those are Hellacious leg kicks.

Having said that, I think Gamburyan will KO Aldo and become the new WEC Featherweight Champion.

Play: Manny Gamburyan +500 risk 2 Units.

Play it small people. There are no locks in any sport. Play with your head. Enjoy the fights. Check out the WEC though, they very rarely if ever have boring fights. Lot of action with the lower weight classes.

Happy Hunting.