Tuesday, September 14, 2010

UFC Fight Night 22




Bet at 5dimes









Brian Foster (-270) vs. Forrest Petz (+230)

This fight seems to be a mismatch on paper. Brian Foster is a highly decorated wrestler who trains out of the HIT Squad camp near St. Louis Missouri. Trains along side Matt Hughes and Robbie Lawler. Forrest Petz has showed a knack for not being able to defend against wrestlers and this continues tomorrow. Brian Foster's improved stand up and good wrestling will dictate where this fight takes place. Because of this I see Brian Foster winning via Unam Decision.

Play is: Brian Foster -270 to win 2 Units

Anthony Waldburger (+170) vs. David Mitchell (-210)

David Mitchell was a play given to me by Mike Hook about how good David Mitchell is. Anthony Waldburger hasn't fought in over a year. Big disadvanatage.

Play: David Mitchell -210 to win 5 Units

Rick Attonito (+160) vs. Rafael Natal (-185)

No Play. Natal is getting way too much love.

Tomasz Drwal (-165) vs. Dave Branch (+145)

Dave Branch I think is the right play in this spot. Branch ran into a Hurricane named Gerald Harris. Branch we will respond well off of his loss. I think he will sub Drwal who has inferior skills on the ground. Not to mention Tomasz is coming off of a nasty heel hook loss to Rousimar Palhares where his knee and ankle got jacked up pretty bad. I can't recommend a play on a guy who might be a little shaky after that last loss.

Play is: Dave Branch +145 risk 3 Units

Jared Hammann (+190) vs. Kyle Kingsbury (+165)

No play pass.

Yves Edwards (+110) vs. John Gunderson (-130)

Lean to Gunderson, Yves Edwards does not fight smart. He could have lost his last fight in Bellator because he wanted to stand and bang against a better standup fighter.

Ross Pearson (-255) vs. Cole Miller (+215)

I like Cole Miller. Think Ross Pearson is a little overrated. I think Cole Miller can get this fight to the ground. If he does, I think he wins this fight.

Play: Cole Miller +215 risk 3 UnitsG

Gleison Tibau +120 vs. Jim Miller -140

Lean to Jim Miller but will pass on this one.

Co-Main Event

Efrain Escudero (-175) vs. Charles Oliveira (+155)

Charles is definitely the play. Efrain missed weight by 4 pounds. Big time angle I love to play. I think Oliveira will want to take Efrain into deep waters in this fight and pick him apart until he knocks out Escudero late in the 2nd Round. Efrain needs to win this fight early. I don't see him winning a decision.

Play: Charles Oliveira +155 Risk 5 Units

Rousimar Palhares (+190) vs. Nate Marquardt (-230)

I like Palhares in this spot. I think Marquardt is overlooking him. If he is not careful Palhares will be looking rip off a limb. Palhares is pretty stocky and short for this weight class so expect him to want to win this one early. I think he will get Nate in a nasty heel hook and I see him tapping out in th 1st Round due to Heel Hook

Play: Rousimar Palhares(+190) risk 5 Units

Happy Hunting.




Bet at 5dimes







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